@sundial-org/stock-evaluator-v3

Comprehensive evaluation of potential stock investments combining valuation analysis, fundamental research, technical assessment, and clear buy/hold/sell recommendations. Use when the user asks about buying a stock, evaluating investment opportunities, analyzing watchlist candidates, or requests stock recommendations. Provides specific entry prices, position sizing, and conviction ratings.

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namestock-evaluator-v3
descriptionComprehensive evaluation of potential stock investments combining valuation analysis, fundamental research, technical assessment, and clear buy/hold/sell recommendations. Use when the user asks about buying a stock, evaluating investment opportunities, analyzing watchlist candidates, or requests stock recommendations. Provides specific entry prices, position sizing, and conviction ratings.

Stock Evaluator (Enhanced)

⚠️ CRITICAL: MANDATORY DELIVERABLES CHECKLIST

Every analysis MUST include ALL of these:

  • Technical Analysis (price action, indicators, key levels, Ichimoku Cloud)
  • Fundamental Analysis (business, financials, competitive position)
  • Advanced Financial Metrics (F-Score, Z-Score, M-Score, Max Drawdown, Value Trap Score)
  • Investor Persona Scores (8 legendary investor frameworks)
  • Valuation Assessment (multiple methods with margin of safety)
  • Bull vs. Bear Case (both sides with balance assessment)
  • Clear Recommendation (BUY / HOLD / SELL with conviction rating)
  • Alternative Candidates (if SELL: provide 3-5 better alternatives)
  • Enhanced Quant-Style Dashboard (React dashboard with 60+ metrics, Ichimoku, investor personas, TOP NEWS, and key notes)

If you cannot complete any item, STOP and ask for clarification.


⚠️ CRITICAL: DATA INTEGRITY RULES

ZERO FABRICATION POLICY

NEVER fabricate, estimate, or hallucinate ANY numeric data point. Every metric in the dashboard MUST come from:

  1. A web search result with a cited source
  2. Company filings (10-K, 10-Q, earnings reports)
  3. Official financial data providers

If data cannot be found → Use "N/A" or "--"

MANDATORY WEB SEARCHES (minimum per analysis)

You MUST perform these searches before populating the dashboard:

Search # Query Template Data Retrieved
1 "[TICKER] stock price market cap P/E ratio" Price, Market Cap, P/E
2 "[TICKER] ROE ROA profit margin 2024 annual report" Financial ratios
3 "[TICKER] revenue growth earnings growth FY2024" Growth rates (REPORTED)
4 "[TICKER] Piotroski F-Score" F-Score (or calculate)
5 "[TICKER] insider trading SEC Form 4 2025" Insider buys/sells
6 "[TICKER] short interest percentage float" Short interest
7 "[TICKER] RSI MACD 50-day 200-day moving average beta volatility" Technical indicators
8 "[TICKER] analyst price target consensus" Analyst targets

DATA SOURCE HIERARCHY

Use sources in this priority order:

  1. Official company filings (SEC EDGAR, company investor relations)
  2. Exchange data (NYSE, NASDAQ, LSE official)
  3. Verified financial data (Yahoo Finance, Google Finance, MarketWatch)
  4. SEC Form 4 (for insider trading ONLY)
  5. FINRA/exchange (for short interest ONLY)

PROHIBITED

  • Using training knowledge for ANY specific current numbers
  • Analyst reports (per user preference)
  • Estimates without sourcing
  • "Common knowledge" assumptions

HANDLING UNAVAILABLE DATA

Situation Action Display
Metric not found after searching Display "N/A" value: "N/A"
Data is outdated (>1 year old) Note the date value: "15.2% (2023)"
Conflicting sources Use most authoritative Note in analysis
Calculated metric (F-Score) Show calculation Explain in text
Insider data unavailable Show "N/A" insBuys: "N/A"

CRITICAL: Zero means "zero occurred" - NEVER substitute zeros for missing data.


STANDARDIZED METRIC LABELS

Use these EXACT labels in the dashboard (matches reference screenshots):

Row 1: PRICE & VALUATION | FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE

Label Notes
Price: $XX.XX or €XX.XX
Market Cap: $XXB or €XXB
Trailing P/E: XX.XX
Forward P/E: XX.XX
Subsector P/E: XX.XX or N/A
PEG (1Y): X.XX with benchmark (<1)
ROE: XX.XX% with benchmark (>20%)
ROA: XX.XX% with benchmark (>10%)
Profit Margin: XX.XX% with benchmark (>20%)
Operative Margin: XX.XX% with benchmark (>20%) - NOTE: "Operative" not "Operating"
Gross Margin: XX.XX% with benchmark (>40%)
ROIC: XX.X% with benchmark (>15%)

Row 2: GROWTH METRICS | RISK INDICATORS

Label Notes
Revenue (YoY): XX.XX% with benchmark (>10%) - REPORTED only
Earning (YoY): XX.XX% with benchmark (>0%) - REPORTED only
EPS (TTM): $X.XX
Forward EPS: $X.XX
Growth Rates: Capped: X.X% / Uncapped: X.X%
Analyst Target: $XX.XX
CRS (0-1): X.XX with benchmark (Medium)
Debt/Equity (mrq): X.XX with benchmark (0.5-1)
Piotroski F: X with benchmark (≥7)
Altman Z: X.XX with benchmark (>3)
Beneish M: X.XX with benchmark (<-1.78)
Value Trap: XX (Label)

Row 3: LIQUIDITY & FREE CASH FLOW | INSIDER & SENTIMENT & CLASS

Label Notes
Current Ratio: X.XX with benchmark (1-2)
Cash: $X.XB
Debt: $X.XB or N/A
FCF Growth 5Y: XX.X% with benchmark (>5%)
FCF Yield: X.XX% with benchmark (>4%)
FCF Margin: XX.XX% with benchmark (>15%)
Payout Ratio: XX.XX% with benchmark (<50%)
Buys (12M): X - from SEC Form 4 or N/A
Sells (12M): X - from SEC Form 4 or N/A
Net Shares (12M): +/-XXK - from SEC Form 4 or N/A
Short Int (%): X.X%
Sentiment / Articles: +X.XXX / XX (Positive/Negative)
Stock: [Type] + Div Yield: Combined: "Stock: Growth" + "Div Yield: X.XX%"
Sector/Industry: Combined: "Sector / Industry"

Row 4: QUALITY SCORES | MOAT & OTHER

Label Notes
CQVS: XX.XX with benchmark range
Label: Strong/Moderate/Weak
Valuation: XX.XX
Quality: XX.XX
Strength: XX.XX
Integrity: XX.XX
Buffett Moat: X with benchmark (4-7)
Greenblatt (MF): EY: X.X% / ROC: X.X% or N/A
Beta: + Vol 1Y: Combined: "Beta: X.XX" + "Vol 1Y: XX.X%"
Earnings Predict.: XX.X% with benchmark (>80%)
Drawdown (5Y): -XX.X% with label (Low/Mid/High)
Completeness: + Data Quality: Combined: "XX.X%" + "High/Medium/Low"

STANDARDIZED BENCHMARKS (Single Source of Truth)

Use these EXACT thresholds for color coding:

Metric Green (Good) Yellow (Neutral) Red (Warning)
ROE >20% 10-20% <10%
ROA >10% 5-10% <5%
Profit Margin >20% 10-20% <10%
Operative Margin >20% 10-20% <10%
Gross Margin >40% 25-40% <25%
ROIC >15% 8-15% <8%
Debt/Equity <1 1-2 >2
Current Ratio 1-2 0.5-1 or 2-3 <0.5 or >3
Piotroski F ≥7 4-6 ≤3
Altman Z >2.99 1.81-2.99 <1.81
Beneish M <-2.22 -2.22 to -1.78 >-1.78
PEG (1Y) <1 1-2 >2
RSI (14) 30-50 50-70 >70 or <30
Short Interest <5% 5-10% >10%
FCF Yield >5% 2-5% <2%
FCF Margin >15% 10-15% <10%
Dividend Yield >2% 1-2% <1% or >8%
Value Trap 0-39 40-59 60-100
Max Drawdown >-30% -30% to -50% <-50%
Revenue Growth >10% 0-10% <0%
Earnings Growth >0% -10% to 0% <-10%

Overview

This skill provides institutional-grade evaluation of potential stock investments. Unlike portfolio analysis which reviews existing positions, this skill evaluates stocks you're considering buying or deciding whether to purchase.

The evaluation answers:

  • Should I buy this stock?
  • At what price should I enter?
  • How much should I allocate?
  • What's my upside and downside?
  • When should I sell?

Default Currency: € (Euro)

All monetary values in the dashboard should be displayed in Euro (€) as the default currency:

  • Price: €42.13
  • Market Cap: €78.3B
  • Analyst Target: €56.45
  • Entry/Stop/Target prices: €38, €35, €56
  • EPS values: €1.39, €1.91

IMPORTANT: Use REPORTED Growth Rates

For the dashboard metrics "Rev Growth" and "Earn Growth":

  • USE REPORTED GROWTH - not underlying, adjusted, or organic figures
  • Reported figures reflect actual GAAP/IFRS numbers including FX, acquisitions, disposals
  • This provides a more accurate picture of what investors actually received
  • Example: If underlying growth is 7% but reported is 2.2%, use 2.2%
  • Same for earnings: Use reported EPS growth, not adjusted EPS growth

Core Purpose

Stock Evaluator is for:

  • ✅ Evaluating potential investments BEFORE buying
  • ✅ Analyzing watchlist candidates
  • ✅ Getting buy/hold/sell recommendations with specific prices
  • ✅ Comparing multiple investment opportunities
  • ✅ Finding better alternatives to current consideration

NOT for:

  • ❌ Reviewing existing portfolio positions (use Portfolio Analyst skill)
  • ❌ General stock market questions
  • ❌ Stock screening or discovery from scratch
  • ❌ Options, derivatives, or crypto analysis

Evaluation Framework

Five Pillars of Stock Evaluation

1. Valuation Assessment

  • Is the stock undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued?
  • Multiple valuation methods (DCF, relative, Peter Lynch, asset-based)
  • Margin of safety requirement (15-30%)
  • Fair value estimate with confidence range

2. Quality Analysis

  • Business model strength and competitive moat
  • Financial health and trends (5-10 year view)
  • Management quality and capital allocation
  • Industry position and competitive advantages

3. Timing Assessment

  • Technical setup and entry points
  • Near-term catalysts and events
  • Market sentiment and positioning
  • Optimal entry price range

4. Position Sizing

  • Allocation recommendation (% of portfolio)
  • Based on conviction, risk, and diversification
  • Maximum allocation limits
  • Risk-adjusted sizing

5. Conviction Rating

  • Strong Buy: High conviction, clear undervaluation, low risk
  • Buy: Good opportunity, reasonable valuation, moderate risk
  • Hold: Fairly valued, no compelling reason to buy now
  • Avoid: Overvalued, significant risks, or better alternatives exist

Value Trap Indicator

What It Is

A Value Trap is when a stock appears undervalued (low P/E, low P/B) but is actually cheap for valid fundamental reasons. The stock keeps declining despite appearing "cheap."

Value Trap Score Calculation (0-100, LOWER = more genuine, HIGHER = more trap)

Components to evaluate (ADD points for trap indicators):

1. Price Momentum (25 points max)

  • 6-month price change vs market: If underperforming by >20%, ADD 15-25 points
  • 12-month price change: Sustained decline = ADD 10-20 points
  • If price momentum is POSITIVE: ADD 0 points

2. Earnings Quality (25 points max)

  • EPS trend (3 years): Declining = ADD 10-25 points
  • Revenue trend: Declining = ADD 5-15 points
  • Margin trend: Compressing = ADD 5-10 points
  • If earnings quality is STRONG: ADD 0 points

3. Balance Sheet Health (25 points max)

  • Debt levels increasing? ADD 5-15 points
  • Cash flow negative or declining? ADD 10-20 points
  • Working capital deteriorating? ADD 5-10 points
  • If balance sheet is HEALTHY: ADD 0 points

4. Valuation Context (25 points max)

  • Is low multiple justified by declining fundamentals? ADD 10-25 points
  • Compare current fundamentals to when multiple was higher
  • If fundamentals justify valuation: ADD 0 points

Scoring Formula

Value Trap Score = Momentum Penalty + Quality Penalty + Balance Sheet Penalty + Valuation Penalty

(Score ranges from 0 to 100, where 0 = definitely genuine value, 100 = definite value trap)

Score Interpretation

  • 0-19: Genuine Value (likely undervalued, fundamentals intact) - GREEN
  • 20-39: Probably Genuine (minor concerns, monitor) - LIGHT GREEN
  • 40-59: Caution Zone (mixed signals, proceed carefully) - YELLOW
  • 60-79: Likely Trap (multiple red flags) - ORANGE
  • 80-100: Strong Trap Signal (avoid) - RED

Display Format

Value Trap: 21 (Genuine)

Color coding: green <40, yellow 40-60, red >60


Investor Persona Scores

Score each stock against 8 famous investor philosophies (0-10 scale). This helps users understand what type of investor the stock suits.

1. Warren Buffett Score

Based on "The Warren Buffett Way" - seeks durable competitive advantages

Key metrics weighted:

  • ROE (>20%): 2 points
  • Profit margin (>15%): 2 points
  • Free cash flow positive & growing: 2 points
  • Moat strength (brand, pricing power): 2 points
  • Predictable earnings: 2 points

Buffett likes: Predictable businesses, pricing power, low capex needs, consistent profitability

2. Charlie Munger Score

Based on "Poor Charlie's Almanack" - mental latticework, inversion thinking

Focus on: What could go WRONG (inversion principle)

Scoring: Start at 10, subtract penalties:

  • High debt (D/E > 2): -3 points
  • Volatile earnings: -2 points
  • Poor management history: -2 points
  • No competitive moat: -2 points
  • Accounting red flags: -3 points

3. Ray Dalio Score

Based on "Principles" - All-Weather portfolio, economic machine understanding

Key metrics:

  • D/E ratio < 1: 2 points
  • Beta < 1: 2 points
  • Stable margins across cycles: 2 points
  • Low earnings volatility: 2 points
  • Recession resistance history: 2 points

Dalio likes: Deleveraging plays, operational efficiency, cycle resilience

4. Peter Lynch Score

Based on "One Up on Wall Street" - GARP (Growth at Reasonable Price)

Primary metric: PEG Ratio (P/E ÷ Growth Rate)

  • PEG < 0.5: 10 points
  • PEG 0.5-1.0: 8 points
  • PEG 1.0-1.5: 6 points
  • PEG 1.5-2.0: 4 points
  • PEG > 2.0: 2 points

Adjustment factors:

  • +1 if earnings growing consistently
  • +1 if business easy to understand
  • -1 if declining industry

5. Benjamin Graham Score

Based on "The Intelligent Investor" - Margin of Safety

Graham criteria (2 points each, max 10):

  • P/E < 15
  • P/B < 1.5
  • Current ratio > 2
  • Positive earnings 10 years
  • Dividend paid 20+ years

6. Joel Greenblatt Score

Based on "The Little Book That Beats the Market" - Magic Formula

Combines two rankings:

  • Earnings Yield (EBIT/EV): Higher = better
  • Return on Capital (EBIT/Net Fixed Assets + Working Capital): Higher = better

Scoring: Combined rank in top 10% = 10 points, scaled down

7. John Templeton Score

Based on contrarian, global value investing

Key factors:

  • Trading at multi-year lows: +3 points
  • Out of favor with analysts: +2 points
  • Strong fundamentals despite pessimism: +3 points
  • Global perspective (non-US opportunity): +2 points

8. George Soros Score

Based on "The Alchemy of Finance" - Reflexivity

Key factors:

  • Momentum and trend strength: 3 points
  • Macro tailwinds: 3 points
  • Market perception shifting: 2 points
  • Inflection point catalyst: 2 points

Soros likes: Macro plays, reflexive situations, trend participation

Display Format

Show 8 badges around radar chart with scores and color coding:

  • Green (7-10): Strong fit
  • Yellow (4-6.9): Moderate fit
  • Red (0-3.9): Poor fit

Enhanced Technical Analysis

Ichimoku Cloud Analysis

Components to Calculate:

  • Tenkan-sen (Conversion Line): (9-period high + 9-period low) / 2
  • Kijun-sen (Base Line): (26-period high + 26-period low) / 2
  • Senkou Span A: (Tenkan-sen + Kijun-sen) / 2, plotted 26 periods ahead
  • Senkou Span B: (52-period high + 52-period low) / 2, plotted 26 periods ahead
  • Chikou Span (Lagging Span): Current close plotted 26 periods back

Cloud (Kumo): Area between Senkou Span A and B

Signals to Identify and Display:

  • TK Bullish Cross: Tenkan-sen crosses above Kijun-sen (bullish) - mark with ◆
  • TK Bearish Cross: Tenkan-sen crosses below Kijun-sen (bearish) - mark with ◆
  • Kumo Twist Bullish: Cloud changes from red to green - mark with ◆
  • Kumo Twist Bearish: Cloud changes from green to red - mark with ◆
  • Price vs Cloud: Above cloud (bullish), Below cloud (bearish), In cloud (neutral)

Dual PEG Ratios

  • PEG (1Y): P/E ÷ 1-Year Forward Growth Estimate
  • PEG (5Y): P/E ÷ 5-Year Historical Growth Rate
  • Both provide different perspectives on growth valuation

FCF Margin

  • Formula: Free Cash Flow / Revenue × 100
  • Benchmark: >15% is excellent, >10% is good
  • Shows cash generation efficiency relative to sales

News Sentiment & Short Interest

  • News Sentiment: -1 to +1 scale based on recent article sentiment
  • Short Interest: % of float sold short (>10% = high, <5% = low)
  • Both indicate market sentiment and potential squeeze/reversal

Fundamental Analysis Process

1. Business Understanding (Always First)

What to Analyze:

  • What does the company do? (products, services, business model)
  • Revenue sources and breakdown
  • Target customers and markets
  • Competitive advantages (moat sources)
  • Market position and share
  • Industry dynamics and trends

Management Evaluation:

  • CEO background, tenure, track record
  • CFO and key executives
  • Capital allocation decisions (dividends, buybacks, acquisitions, R&D)
  • Management compensation alignment
  • Insider trading patterns (buying is bullish signal)
  • Leadership quality from earnings calls and letters

Competitive Position:

  • Market share and trends
  • Key competitors (identify 3-5 direct peers)
  • What differentiates this company?
  • Sustainable competitive advantages?

2. Financial Analysis (5-10 Year View)

Research Process Order:

  1. Latest 10-K first - Understand current business and recent results
  2. Go back 5-10 years through historical 10-Ks - Understand evolution
  3. Review last 2-3 years of 10-Qs - Current trajectory
  4. Examine proxy statements - Governance and compensation

Key Metrics to Analyze:

Quality Benchmarks:

  • ROE > 15% (return on equity)
  • Profit Margin > 15%
  • Gross Margin > 30%
  • Debt < Annual Revenue
  • Positive and growing Free Cash Flow
  • Revenue growth over 5 years (inflation-adjusted)

Trends to Assess:

  • Revenue growth trajectory (accelerating/stable/decelerating?)
  • Margin expansion or contraction (why?)
  • Cash flow consistency and quality
  • Balance sheet strength (debt levels, liquidity)
  • Return on invested capital (ROIC)
  • Working capital management

Red Flags:

  • Declining margins despite revenue growth
  • Negative or inconsistent free cash flow
  • Debt growing faster than cash generation
  • Losing market share
  • Chronic guidance misses
  • Accounting irregularities

3. Competitive Moat Assessment

Moat Strength: Wide / Narrow / None

Evaluate Sources:

  • Network effects: Product improves with more users?
  • Brand loyalty: Pricing power from brand strength?
  • Switching costs: Difficult/expensive to switch?
  • Regulatory barriers: Licenses, patents, regulations?
  • Cost advantages: Scale, technology, location?
  • Intangible assets: Patents, trademarks, proprietary data?

Moat Durability:

  • How long can advantages be sustained?
  • What could erode the moat?
  • Is moat strengthening or weakening?

Peer Comparison: Compare this company's moat vs. 3-5 direct competitors:

  • Market share trends
  • Profitability metrics (margins, ROE)
  • Growth rates
  • Financial strength

4. Advanced Financial Health Metrics

Beyond basic quality metrics, calculate these advanced scores for deeper insight:

Piotroski F-Score (Financial Strength)

Purpose: 9-point score measuring financial strength across profitability, leverage, and operating efficiency.

Scoring (0-9, higher is better):

Profitability (4 points):

  • ROA > 0: +1
  • Operating Cash Flow > 0: +1
  • ROA improving YoY: +1
  • Cash Flow from Operations > Net Income (quality of earnings): +1

Leverage/Liquidity (3 points):

  • Long-term debt decreasing YoY: +1
  • Current ratio improving YoY: +1
  • No new shares issued in past year: +1

Operating Efficiency (2 points):

  • Gross margin improving YoY: +1
  • Asset turnover ratio improving YoY: +1

Interpretation:

  • 8-9: Excellent financial health
  • 6-7: Good financial health
  • 4-5: Adequate financial health
  • 0-3: Weak financial health

Altman Z-Score (Bankruptcy Risk)

Purpose: Predicts probability of bankruptcy within 2 years.

Formula (for public manufacturing companies): Z = 1.2(A) + 1.4(B) + 3.3(C) + 0.6(D) + 1.0(E)

Where:

  • A = Working Capital / Total Assets
  • B = Retained Earnings / Total Assets
  • C = EBIT / Total Assets
  • D = Market Cap / Total Liabilities
  • E = Sales / Total Assets

Interpretation:

  • Z > 2.99: Safe Zone (low bankruptcy risk)
  • Z 1.81-2.99: Grey Zone (moderate risk)
  • Z < 1.81: Distress Zone (high bankruptcy risk)

Note: Adjust for non-manufacturing companies (different coefficients).

Beneish M-Score (Earnings Manipulation Detection)

Purpose: Identifies likelihood of earnings manipulation.

Key Indicators (simplified approach):

  • Days Sales Outstanding Index (increasing = warning)
  • Gross Margin Index (declining = warning)
  • Asset Quality Index (increasing = warning)
  • Sales Growth Index (excessive growth = warning)
  • Depreciation Index (declining = warning)
  • SG&A Index (disproportionate change = warning)
  • Leverage Index (increasing = warning)
  • Total Accruals to Total Assets (high = warning)

Interpretation:

  • M-Score > -1.78: Likely manipulator (RED FLAG)
  • M-Score < -1.78: Unlikely manipulator (clean)

Practical Check (if full M-Score unavailable):

  • Are accruals consistently high relative to cash flow?
  • Is DSO rising faster than revenue?
  • Are margins declining with revenue growth?
  • Any accounting restatements or auditor changes?

Max Drawdown (5-Year)

Purpose: Measures largest peak-to-trough price decline.

Calculation:

  • Identify highest price in past 5 years
  • Find lowest subsequent price before recovery
  • Max Drawdown % = (Low - High) / High × 100

Interpretation:

  • 0-20%: Low volatility (defensive stock)
  • 20-40%: Moderate volatility (typical stock)
  • 40-60%: High volatility (cyclical/growth)
  • >60%: Extreme volatility (speculative)

Consolidated Scores

Strength Score (0-100): Composite of:

  • Financial metrics (F-Score contribution)
  • Profitability (ROE, margins)
  • Growth rates
  • Market position

Integrity Score (0-100): Composite of:

  • M-Score (earnings quality)
  • Cash flow vs. earnings alignment
  • Accounting practices
  • Management transparency

Predictability Score (0-100): Composite of:

  • Revenue consistency (low volatility)
  • Earnings consistency
  • Business model stability
  • Cyclicality assessment

Data Quality Score (0-100):

  • Completeness of financial data
  • Recency of filings
  • Auditor quality
  • Disclosure transparency

5. Risk Analysis

Company-Specific Risks:

  • Execution risk (can management deliver?)
  • Competition risk (share loss, new entrants)
  • Product concentration (single product dependency)
  • Customer concentration (few large customers)
  • Key person risk (CEO dependency)
  • Financial distress risk (Z-Score assessment)
  • Earnings quality risk (M-Score assessment)

Industry Risks:

  • Disruption (technology or business model)
  • Cyclicality (economic sensitivity)
  • Regulation (policy changes)
  • Commoditization (pricing power erosion)
  • Structural decline (secular headwinds)

Macro Risks:

  • Economic (recession, inflation, rates)
  • Geopolitical (trade wars, conflicts)
  • Currency (FX exposure)
  • Market (valuation levels, sentiment)

Overall Risk Level: Low / Moderate / High

Consolidated Risk Score: (0-1 scale, lower is better)

  • Incorporates: Z-Score, volatility, leverage, earnings quality
  • <0.30: Low Risk
  • 0.30-0.60: Moderate Risk
  • 0.60: High Risk


Valuation Assessment

Use multiple valuation methods - synthesize into fair value estimate.

Required Valuation Methods

1. DCF Analysis (Discounted Cash Flow)

  • Project free cash flows (5-10 years)
  • Apply appropriate discount rate (WACC)
  • Calculate terminal value
  • Include margin of safety: 15-30%
  • Sensitivity analysis with different assumptions

2. Relative Valuation

  • Compare to 3-5 direct peer companies
  • Key multiples: P/E, EV/EBITDA, Price/Sales, Price/Book
  • Adjust for growth differentials
  • Consider industry-specific multiples
  • Use both current and historical peer averages

3. Peter Lynch Fair Value

  • Growth-at-reasonable-price framework
  • Compare P/E to growth rate (PEG ratio)
  • Fair value when P/E ≈ growth rate
  • Adjust for quality factors

4. Asset-Based (When Applicable)

  • For REITs, financials, asset-heavy companies
  • Book value or replacement cost
  • Net asset value calculations

Valuation Synthesis

Fair Value Estimate: €X.XX

Weight each method appropriately:

  • DCF: 40% (if reliable cash flows)
  • Relative: 30% (peer comparison)
  • Peter Lynch: 30% (growth-adjusted)

Margin of Safety:

  • Current Price vs. Fair Value: X% discount/premium
  • Required: Minimum 15% margin of safety
  • Adequate: 15-30% margin of safety
  • Excellent: >30% margin of safety

Valuation Conclusion:

  • UNDERVALUED: >15% below fair value (buy opportunity)
  • FAIRLY VALUED: Within ±15% of fair value (hold)
  • OVERVALUED: >15% above fair value (avoid/sell)

Technical Analysis (Entry Timing)

Focus on identifying optimal entry points, not full technical analysis.

Key Technical Elements

1. Price Action (Last 30-60 Days)

  • Current trend: Uptrend / Downtrend / Range-bound
  • Recent price pattern
  • Volume trends (increasing on rallies?)
  • Momentum assessment

2. Key Levels

  • Support levels: Where buying interest emerges
    • Primary support: €X.XX
    • Secondary support: €X.XX
  • Resistance levels: Where selling pressure increases
    • Primary resistance: €X.XX
    • Secondary resistance: €X.XX

3. Technical Indicators

  • RSI (Relative Strength Index):
    • 70 = Overbought (may pullback)

    • <30 = Oversold (potential bounce)
    • 40-60 = Neutral
  • MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
    • Bullish crossover / Bearish crossover / Neutral
    • Momentum accelerating or decelerating?
  • Moving Averages:
    • 50-day MA: €X.XX (price above/below?)
    • 200-day MA: €X.XX (trend indicator)

4. Entry Assessment

  • Technical Setup: Bullish / Neutral / Bearish
  • Optimal Entry: Wait for pullback to support / Buy at market / Wait for breakout
  • Entry Price Range: €X.XX - €X.XX
  • Avoid Above: €X.XX (poor risk/reward)

Bull vs. Bear Case Analysis

MANDATORY: Every analysis must present both sides fairly.

Bull Case (Optimistic Scenario)

Potential Upside: +X% to €X.XX

  1. [Key bull argument 1 with specific evidence]
  2. [Key bull argument 2 with specific evidence]
  3. [Key bull argument 3 with specific evidence]

For this to play out:

  • [Required condition 1]
  • [Required condition 2]

Bear Case (Pessimistic Scenario)

Potential Downside: -X% to €X.XX

  1. [Key bear argument 1 with specific evidence]
  2. [Key bear argument 2 with specific evidence]
  3. [Key bear argument 3 with specific evidence]

This happens if:

  • [Risk trigger 1]
  • [Risk trigger 2]

Balance Assessment

Which case is more probable: [Bull / Bear / Balanced]

[Explanation of why one case is more likely, considering:

  • Quality of evidence for each side
  • Historical precedent
  • Management track record
  • Industry dynamics
  • Current valuation]

Investment Recommendation Structure

BUY Recommendation Criteria

  • Fair value >15% above current price (adequate margin of safety)
  • Strong or improving fundamentals
  • Reasonable or bullish technical setup
  • Identifiable catalysts
  • Acceptable risk level
  • Conviction: Strong Buy or Buy

HOLD Recommendation Criteria

  • Fair value within ±15% of current price
  • Stable fundamentals, no compelling catalyst
  • Better opportunities may exist elsewhere
  • Wait for better entry price
  • Conviction: Hold

SELL/AVOID Recommendation Criteria

  • Fair value <-15% below current price (overvalued)
  • Deteriorating fundamentals
  • Significant risks
  • Better alternatives available
  • Must provide 3-5 alternative candidates
  • Conviction: Avoid

Position Sizing Framework

Allocation recommendation based on:

Conviction + Risk = Position Size

Strong Buy (High Conviction, Low Risk):

  • Position size: 5-8% of portfolio
  • Maximum: 10%

Buy (Moderate Conviction, Moderate Risk):

  • Position size: 3-5% of portfolio
  • Maximum: 7%

Speculative/High Risk:

  • Position size: 1-3% of portfolio
  • Maximum: 5%

Considerations:

  • Diversification needs (avoid sector concentration)
  • Correlation with existing holdings
  • Overall portfolio risk
  • Liquidity requirements
  • User's risk tolerance (from project context)

Entry and Exit Strategy

Entry Strategy

NO scale-in strategies - recommend single entry approach:

If BUY:

  • Ideal Entry Price: €X.XX - €X.XX (optimal range)
  • Maximum Buy Price: €X.XX (above this, risk/reward unfavorable)
  • Approach:
    • "Buy now at market" (if currently at good price)
    • "Wait for pullback to €X.XX support" (if extended)
    • "Buy on break above €X.XX" (if breakout setup)
    • "Don't buy above €X.XX" (if overvalued)

Exit Strategy

Price Target (12-month): €X.XX (+X% upside)

  • Conservative: €X.XX
  • Base case: €X.XX
  • Optimistic: €X.XX

Stop Loss: €X.XX (-X% maximum loss)

  • Technical stop: Below key support
  • Fundamental stop: If thesis breaks

Sell If (Thesis-Breaking Conditions):

  1. [Specific fundamental deterioration]
  2. [Specific competitive threat]
  3. [Specific valuation threshold]

Hold Duration:

  • Expected timeframe: [6-12 months / 1-3 years / 3-5+ years]
  • Based on investment type (swing trade vs long-term hold)

Catalyst Identification

Identify specific events that could drive stock performance.

Near-Term (0-6 months):

  • Upcoming earnings: [Date]
  • Product launches: [Event]
  • Regulatory decisions: [Expected timing]
  • Industry events: [Conference, data release]

Medium-Term (6-18 months):

  • Market expansion plans
  • New product cycles
  • Margin expansion initiatives
  • Strategic partnerships

Long-Term (18+ months):

  • Structural industry trends
  • Market share gains
  • Technological leadership
  • Business model evolution

Key Analytical Constraints

Critical Principles:

  1. No Press/News for Fundamental Analysis

    • Use company filings only (10-K, 10-Q, 8-K, proxy)
    • Use earnings call transcripts
    • Do NOT rely on news articles or press releases
    • Exception: News for recent developments, but verify in filings
  2. Magnitude Over Precision

    • Focus on stocks with good margin of safety (>15%)
    • Don't need perfect forecasts
    • Better to be approximately right than precisely wrong
    • Conservative assumptions better than optimistic
  3. Long-Term View

    • Analyze 5-10 year trends, not just recent quarters
    • Temporary setbacks vs. structural problems
    • Sustainable competitive advantages matter most
    • Short-term noise vs. long-term signal
  4. Compare Apples to Apples

    • Benchmark against 3-5 direct competitors
    • Not just broad market indices
    • Industry-specific metrics and norms
    • Adjust for company size and maturity
  5. Intellectual Honesty

    • Acknowledge limitations and unknowns
    • Present both bull and bear cases fairly
    • Say "I don't know" when appropriate
    • Update views when evidence changes

Output Template

# [SYMBOL] - [Company Name] Evaluation

## ⚠️ DELIVERABLES CHECKLIST ✓
☑ Technical Analysis Complete
☑ Fundamental Analysis Complete
☑ Valuation Assessment Complete
☑ Bull vs. Bear Case Complete
☑ Clear Recommendation: **[BUY / HOLD / SELL]**
☑ Alternative Candidates: [If SELL, list 3-5 alternatives below]

---

## 📊 Executive Summary

[2-3 sentence bottom-line assessment with key reasoning]

**Recommendation: [BUY / HOLD / SELL]**
**Conviction: [Strong Buy / Buy / Hold / Avoid]**

---

## 💰 Valuation Assessment

**Fair Value Estimate: €X.XX** (Current: €X.XX)
- **Margin of Safety: X%** [Adequate >15% / Insufficient <15%]
- **Valuation: [UNDERVALUED / FAIRLY VALUED / OVERVALUED]**

| Valuation Method | Fair Value | vs. Current | Weight |
|-----------------|-----------|-------------|--------|
| DCF Analysis | €X.XX | +X% | 40% |
| Peer Relative | €X.XX | +X% | 30% |
| Peter Lynch | €X.XX | +X% | 30% |
| **Weighted Average** | **€X.XX** | **+X%** | **100%** |

**Assumptions:**
- DCF: [Key assumptions - growth rate, margins, discount rate]
- Margin of safety applied: X%

---

## 🏢 Business & Competitive Analysis

### What They Do
[2-3 paragraph business model summary:
- Core products/services
- Revenue breakdown
- Target markets
- Business model]

### Competitive Advantages
**Moat Strength: [Wide / Narrow / None]**

1. **[Advantage 1]**: [Detailed explanation with evidence]
2. **[Advantage 2]**: [Detailed explanation with evidence]
3. **[Advantage 3]**: [Detailed explanation with evidence]

**Moat Durability:** [How sustainable are these advantages? 3-5 years? 10+ years?]

### Management Quality Assessment
**Overall Rating: [Excellent / Good / Adequate / Concerning]**

- **CEO**: [Name] - [Background, tenure]
  - Track record: [Achievements/concerns]
  - Capital allocation: [Shareholder-friendly? Smart acquisitions?]
- **CFO**: [Name] - [Financial stewardship]
- **Insider Trading**: [Recent buying/selling activity]
- **Key Insight**: [Overall management assessment]

### Competitive Position

**Market Position:**
- Market share: X% (#X in industry)
- Share trend: [Gaining / Stable / Losing]

**Key Competitors:** [List 3-5 direct peers]

**Peer Comparison:**
| Company | Mkt Cap | Revenue Growth | Profit Margin | ROE | P/E | Moat |
|---------|---------|---------------|---------------|-----|-----|------|
| [Target] | €XB | X% | X% | X% | X.X | [Rating] |
| [Peer 1] | €XB | X% | X% | X% | X.X | [Rating] |
| [Peer 2] | €XB | X% | X% | X.X | X.X | [Rating] |
| [Peer 3] | €XB | X% | X% | X% | X.X | [Rating] |

**Competitive Assessment:** [Is this the best company in the sector?]

---

## 📈 Financial Health Analysis

### Quality Metrics vs. Benchmarks

| Metric | Current | 1Y Ago | 3Y Ago | 5Y Ago | Target | Status |
|--------|---------|--------|--------|--------|--------|--------|
| ROE | X% | X% | X% | X% | >15% | [✓/✗] |
| Profit Margin | X% | X% | X% | X% | >15% | [✓/✗] |
| Gross Margin | X% | X% | X% | X% | >30% | [✓/✗] |
| Revenue Growth | X% | X% | X% | X% | >0% | [✓/✗] |
| Debt/Revenue | X.X | X.X | X.X | X.X | <1.0 | [✓/✗] |
| FCF | €XM | €XM | €XM | €XM | Positive | [✓/✗] |

### Advanced Financial Health Scores

**Piotroski F-Score: X/9** [Excellent 8-9 / Good 6-7 / Adequate 4-5 / Weak 0-3]

*Profitability:* X/4
- ROA positive: [✓/✗]
- Operating CF positive: [✓/✗]
- ROA improving: [✓/✗]
- CF > Net Income: [✓/✗]

*Leverage:* X/3
- Debt decreasing: [✓/✗]
- Current ratio improving: [✓/✗]
- No dilution: [✓/✗]

*Efficiency:* X/2
- Margin improving: [✓/✗]
- Turnover improving: [✓/✗]

**Assessment:** [Detailed interpretation of F-Score]

**Altman Z-Score: X.XX** [Safe >2.99 / Grey 1.81-2.99 / Distress <1.81]
- **Bankruptcy Risk:** [Low / Moderate / High]
- **Interpretation:** [Explanation of Z-Score and financial stability]

**Beneish M-Score: X.XX** [Clean <-1.78 / Warning >-1.78]
- **Earnings Quality:** [High / Moderate / Questionable]
- **Red Flags:** [List any concerning indicators or state "None"]

**Max Drawdown (5Y): -X%** [Low <20% / Moderate 20-40% / High 40-60% / Extreme >60%]
- **Volatility Assessment:** [Low/Moderate/High volatility explanation]
- **Peak price:** €X.XX ([Date])
- **Trough price:** €X.XX ([Date])

### Consolidated Scores

**Strength Score: X/100** (Financial power and market position)
**Integrity Score: X/100** (Earnings quality and transparency)
**Predictability Score: X/100** (Business consistency)
**Data Quality Score: X/100** (Information completeness)

**Overall Quality Rating: [Elite / Strong / Good / Adequate / Weak]**

### Financial Trends (5-10 Year View)

**Revenue:**
- [Trend description: growth rate, consistency, drivers]
- [Any concerning patterns?]

**Margins:**
- Gross margin: [Expanding / Stable / Declining]
- Operating margin: [Trend]
- Net margin: [Trend]
- Drivers: [Why are margins moving this way?]

**Cash Flow:**
- Operating cash flow: [Trend and quality]
- Free cash flow: [Consistency, conversion]
- Capital allocation: [Dividends, buybacks, capex, acquisitions]

**Balance Sheet:**
- Debt levels: [Conservative / Moderate / High]
- Liquidity: [Strong / Adequate / Concerning]
- Trend: [Strengthening / Stable / Weakening]

### 🚩 Red Flags
[List any concerning trends or issues, or state "None identified"]

---

## 📉 Technical Analysis & Entry Timing

### Price Action (Last 30-60 Days)
- **Current Price**: €X.XX
- **52-Week Range**: €X.XX - €X.XX
- **30-day Change**: [+/-X%]
- **Trend**: [Uptrend / Downtrend / Range-bound]
- **Volume**: [Increasing / Decreasing / Normal]

### Key Technical Levels

**Support Levels:**
- **Primary Support: €X.XX** - [Significance/reason]
- **Secondary Support: €X.XX** - [Significance/reason]

**Resistance Levels:**
- **Primary Resistance: €X.XX** - [Significance/reason]
- **Secondary Resistance: €X.XX** - [Significance/reason]

### Technical Indicators

**RSI**: X.X [Overbought >70 / Neutral 30-70 / Oversold <30]
**MACD**: [Bullish crossover / Bearish crossover / Neutral]
- Interpretation: [Momentum assessment]

**Moving Averages:**
- 50-day MA: €X.XX - Price is [above/below]
- 200-day MA: €X.XX - Price is [above/below]
- Golden/Death Cross: [Any recent crossovers?]

### Entry Assessment

**Technical Setup: [Bullish / Neutral / Bearish]**

**Optimal Entry Strategy:**
- [Buy now at market / Wait for pullback to €X.XX / Buy on breakout above €X.XX]
- **Ideal Entry Range: €X.XX - €X.XX**
- **Maximum Buy Price: €X.XX** (avoid above this)

**Momentum: [Strong Bullish / Bullish / Neutral / Bearish / Strong Bearish]**

---

## ⚖️ Bull vs. Bear Case

### 🐂 Bull Case
**Potential Upside: €X.XX (+X%)**

1. **[Bull Argument 1]**: [Specific evidence and reasoning]
2. **[Bull Argument 2]**: [Specific evidence and reasoning]
3. **[Bull Argument 3]**: [Specific evidence and reasoning]

**For this to play out:**
- [Required condition 1]
- [Required condition 2]

**Probability: [High / Moderate / Low]**

### 🐻 Bear Case
**Potential Downside: €X.XX (-X%)**

1. **[Bear Argument 1]**: [Specific risk and reasoning]
2. **[Bear Argument 2]**: [Specific risk and reasoning]
3. **[Bear Argument 3]**: [Specific risk and reasoning]

**This happens if:**
- [Risk trigger 1]
- [Risk trigger 2]

**Probability: [High / Moderate / Low]**

### ⚖️ Balance Assessment

**Which case is more probable: [Bull / Bear / Balanced]**

[2-3 paragraph explanation of:
- Weight of evidence for each side
- Historical precedent
- Management track record
- Industry dynamics
- Current valuation
- Risk/reward assessment]

---

## ⚠️ Risk Analysis

**Overall Risk Level: [Low / Moderate / High]**

### Key Risks

**1. [Risk Category - e.g., Competition Risk]**: 
[Specific risk and potential impact. Probability: High/Medium/Low]

**2. [Risk Category - e.g., Execution Risk]**: 
[Specific risk and potential impact. Probability: High/Medium/Low]

**3. [Risk Category - e.g., Valuation Risk]**: 
[Specific risk and potential impact. Probability: High/Medium/Low]

**4. [Risk Category - e.g., Macro Risk]**: 
[Specific risk and potential impact. Probability: High/Medium/Low]

### Risk Mitigation
[How does the company/investment address these risks?]
[What reduces the risk in this investment?]

---

## 🎯 Catalysts & Timeline

### Near-Term (0-6 months)
- **[Date]**: [Specific catalyst - earnings, product launch, etc.]
- **[Date]**: [Specific catalyst]

### Medium-Term (6-18 months)
- [Expected development 1]
- [Expected development 2]

### Long-Term (18+ months)
- [Structural trend 1]
- [Structural trend 2]

**Expected Timeline to Target**: [6-12 months / 1-3 years / 3-5+ years]

---

## 💡 Investment Recommendation

### **RECOMMENDATION: [BUY / HOLD / SELL]**
### **Conviction: [Strong Buy / Buy / Hold / Avoid]**

### Rationale
[2-3 paragraph synthesis of entire analysis:
- Why this recommendation?
- What makes it compelling (or not)?
- How does valuation + fundamentals + technicals + catalysts = this conclusion?
- What's the risk/reward?]

---

## 📍 Entry Strategy (if BUY)

**Ideal Entry Price: €X.XX - €X.XX**
- Reasoning: [Why this range?]

**Maximum Acceptable Price: €X.XX**
- Above this: Risk/reward unfavorable

**Approach:**
- [Buy now at market / Wait for pullback to €X.XX / Buy on breakout above €X.XX]
- Reasoning: [Current technical setup justification]

**DO NOT BUY IF:**
- Price exceeds €X.XX without fundamental improvement
- [Other specific condition]

---

## 🎯 Exit Strategy

### Price Targets (12-Month Horizon)
- **Conservative**: €X.XX (+X%)
- **Base Case**: €X.XX (+X%)
- **Optimistic**: €X.XX (+X%)

### Stop Loss
**Stop Loss: €X.XX (-X% maximum loss)**
- Technical: Below €X.XX support
- Fundamental: If [thesis-breaking condition]

### Sell Conditions (Thesis-Breaking)
Exit position if any of these occur:
1. [Specific fundamental deterioration - e.g., "ROE drops below 10% for 2 consecutive quarters"]
2. [Specific competitive threat - e.g., "Loses >5% market share to competitor"]
3. [Specific valuation threshold - e.g., "Reaches €X.XX (>50% above fair value)"]

### Hold Duration
**Expected Timeframe**: [6-12 months / 1-3 years / 3-5+ years]
- Based on: [Investment type - swing trade vs. long-term hold]

---

## 📏 Position Sizing

### Recommended Allocation: X-X% of portfolio
**Specific Recommendation: X%**

**Rationale:**
- Conviction level: [Strong Buy / Buy → drives size]
- Risk level: [Low / Moderate / High → constrains size]
- Diversification: [Sector exposure, correlation with existing holdings]
- Liquidity: [Can exit position easily?]

**Maximum Allocation: X%**
- Risk management limit
- Don't exceed even if highly convicted

### Sizing Guidelines Applied:
- Strong Buy + Low Risk = 5-8% (max 10%)
- Buy + Moderate Risk = 3-5% (max 7%)
- Speculative + High Risk = 1-3% (max 5%)

---

## 🔑 Key Takeaways

### Top 3 Reasons to Invest
1. [Most compelling positive factor]
2. [Second most compelling positive factor]
3. [Third most compelling positive factor]

### Top 3 Concerns
1. [Biggest risk or concern]
2. [Second biggest risk or concern]
3. [Third biggest risk or concern]

### One-Sentence Investment Thesis
[Single sentence capturing the complete investment case - why buy or avoid]

---

## 📚 Research Documentation

**Sources Consulted:**
- 10-K filings: [Fiscal years reviewed - e.g., FY2020-2024]
- 10-Q filings: [Recent quarters - e.g., Q1-Q3 2025]
- Earnings calls: [Dates reviewed]
- Proxy statements: [Years reviewed]
- Management letters: [Years reviewed]
- Competitor analysis: [Companies benchmarked]

**Analysis Depth:**
- Historical period analyzed: [X years]
- Peer companies compared: [Number and names]
- Valuation methods used: [DCF, Relative, Peter Lynch, Asset-based]

**Confidence Level: [High / Medium / Low]**
- **Based on**: [Quality and completeness of available data]
- **Gaps**: [Any areas where information is limited or unavailable]
- **Limitations**: [Any constraints in the analysis]

---

## 🔄 Alternative Candidates (Required if SELL/AVOID)

[If recommending SELL or AVOID, provide 3-5 better investment alternatives with brief rationale for each]

### Alternative 1: [Symbol] - [Company Name]
**Why it's better**: [1-2 paragraph comparison]
**Quick metrics**: [Valuation, growth, margins]

### Alternative 2: [Symbol] - [Company Name]
**Why it's better**: [1-2 paragraph comparison]
**Quick metrics**: [Valuation, growth, margins]

### Alternative 3: [Symbol] - [Company Name]
**Why it's better**: [1-2 paragraph comparison]
**Quick metrics**: [Valuation, growth, margins]

[Continue for 4-5 alternatives if SELL recommendation]

---

**Analysis Date**: [Current Date]
**Next Review**: [Suggested review date based on catalysts or timeline]
**Analyst**: Claude Stock Evaluator

---

## 📊 Quant-Style Dashboard

**FINAL MANDATORY STEP**: Create a React artifact using the standardized quant-style dashboard template with:

**Required Data to Populate:**
- ✅ All 48 metrics across 8 sections (calculated above)
- ✅ Historical price data (5 years, 6-12 points)
- ✅ 1-year price + 6-month forecast (4-6 points)
- ✅ MACD data (3-5 recent points)
- ✅ RSI data (3-5 recent points)
- ✅ Radar chart (12 metrics, normalized 0-100)
- ✅ Bull case (target + 5 points)
- ✅ Bear case (target + 5 points)
- ✅ Entry/exit strategy (5 values)

**Use the EXACT template code provided in the skill instructions above.**
**DO NOT use placeholder values - populate with actual calculated data from this analysis.**

[Create the React artifact here using the quant-style template]

Quant-Style Dashboard Artifact

MANDATORY: After completing the full text analysis, create a React dashboard artifact using the standardized quant-style template format.

Dashboard Template Structure

The dashboard uses a specific institutional-grade format with:

1. Header Section (Orange background)

  • Format: TICKER - Company Name

2. Eight Metric Sections (2-column grid)

Left Column Right Column
Price & Valuation (blue) Financial Performance (green)
Growth Metrics (emerald) Risk Indicators (red)
Liquidity & FCF (cyan) Insider & Sentiment (purple)
Quality Scores (orange) Moat & Other (gray)

Each section: 6 metric boxes with values, labels, benchmarks, color coding

3. Charts Section (3-column grid)

  • Left: Linear Price Chart + MACD

    • Price, Intrinsic Value, Market Value lines
    • 5-year historical data
    • MACD indicator below
  • Center: Radar Chart + 1-Year Forecast

    • 12-point radar (normalized 0-100)
    • Consolidated advice badge
    • 1-year price + 6-month forecast
  • Right: Log Price Chart + RSI

    • Log-scale price history
    • Intrinsic value comparison
    • RSI (14) indicator below

4. Key Notes Section (Expandable accordion)

  • 3-column layout: Bull Case | Bear Case | Entry/Exit Strategy
  • Click to expand/collapse

5. Footer

  • Analysis date, data sources, recommendation

Required Metrics by Section

Price & Valuation (6 metrics):

  • Price, Market Cap, Trailing P/E, Forward P/E, Subsector Typical P/E, PEG Ratio

Financial Performance (6 metrics):

  • ROE, ROA, Profit Margin, Operating Margin, Gross Margin, ROIC

Growth Metrics (6 metrics):

  • Revenue Growth (5Y), Earnings Growth, EPS (TTM), Forward EPS, Analyst Rec, Target Price

Risk Indicators (6 metrics):

  • Debt/Equity, Consolidated Risk, F-Score, Z-Score, M-Score, Max Drawdown (5Y)

Liquidity & FCF (6 metrics):

  • Current Ratio, Total Cash, Total Debt, FCF Growth 5Y, FCF Yield, Payout Ratio

Insider & Sentiment (6 metrics):

  • Insider Buys (12M), Insider Sells (12M), Net Shares (12M), RSI (14D), Stock Type, Sector

Quality Scores (6 metrics):

  • CQVS, Label, Valuation Score, Quality Score, Strength Score, Integrity Score

Moat & Other (6 metrics):

  • Moat Score (0-10), Beta, Predictability, Data Quality, Completeness, Dividend Yield

Radar Chart Metrics (12 points, normalized 0-100)

  1. Revenue Growth (normalize: X% growth → scale to 100 for 20%+)
  2. Operating Margin (normalize: X% → 100 for 30%+)
  3. Gross Margin (normalize: X% → 100 for 60%+)
  4. Profit Margin (normalize: X% → 100 for 25%+)
  5. ROE (normalize: X% → 100 for 30%+)
  6. Risk Score (inverse of consolidated risk: 100 - risk*100)
  7. Beta Score (inverse: 100 for beta=0.5, 50 for beta=1.5, 0 for beta=2.5+)
  8. P/Market Discount (100 = deeply undervalued, 50 = fair, 0 = overvalued)
  9. Moat Score (moat rating * 10)
  10. FCF Yield (X% → 100 for 8%+)
  11. ROA (X% → 100 for 20%+)
  12. Earnings Growth (X% → 100 for 25%+)

Color Coding Rules

// Green (isGood: true) - Positive indicators
ROE > 20%, ROA > 10%, Margins > 20%, ROIC > 15%
Revenue Growth > 10%, Current Ratio 1-2, Z-Score > 3
M-Score < -1.78, FCF Growth > 0%, Payout < 50%
F-Score >= 7, Quality >= 70, Strength >= 70

// Red (isGood: false) - Warning indicators  
Max Drawdown < -50%, Beta > 2, Consolidated Risk > 0.6

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