Odds Desk - your prediction-market basket, read, sized, planned and risk-reviewed

Paste one basket of prediction-market legs - the market questions, venues, sides, quotes, planned stakes, your own stated fair probabilities, resolution dates, resolution sources, correlation themes and quoted depth - and run one of four worksheets over it: the resolution read (what each leg actually settles on, where the question has more than one reading, and which dated evidence would move it), the sizing worksheet (planned stake against full and fractional Kelly, a band rather than a number, cap status and where the concentration really sits), the execution plan (prerequisites, a price limit per leg in the notation you pasted, invalidation triggers, exits and one dated monitoring calendar), and the risk review (resolution-source integrity, input data quality, privacy, venue concentration, execution and settlement risk, automation authority, and a go / hold / revise gate). A free in-browser engine runs first and costs nothing: it reads pipe, tab, comma, semicolon, markdown and key:value baskets, normalises cents, decimals, percentages, American and fractional odds into one implied probability, computes contracts, profit if the leg wins, break-even, edge, expected value and full and fractional Kelly per leg, aggregates exposure by theme, venue and resolution month, and raises a keyed list of deterministic flags - negative edge, Kelly at or below zero, cap breaches, stake beyond quoted depth, duplicate legs, both sides of one market with the overround or the apparent arbitrage priced, missing or past resolution dates, unverifiable sources. Every flag must be reconciled exactly once by the worksheet, and the app verifies that for you. Each lane hands off to the next with a button. Non-advisory by construction: it documents the consequences of the numbers you supply and never recommends, endorses or discourages a position. A derived work built on four community skills, credited in full: @affaan-m/ito-trade-planner (the primary skill, behind the execution plan), @affaan-m/ito-market-intelligence (behind the resolution read), @joellewis/bet-sizing (behind the sizing worksheet) and @affaan-m/prediction-market-risk-review (behind the risk review).

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